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Earthquake Forecasting by Gravity Variations Precursors Recorded at ATROPATENA-PK System
Type:
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Conference Proceeding
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Title:
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Earthquake Forecasting by Gravity Variations Precursors Recorded at ATROPATENA-PK System
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Author(s):
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Mubarak, M. A.; Qaisar, M.; Ahmad, N.; Awais, M.; Shahid, M.; Irfan, M.
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Date:
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2009
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Abstract:
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The gravity anomalies, prior to major earthquakes, is a very well established fact and have been noticed in cases of many major earthquakes. The ATROPATENA system which is based on principle of Cavendish balance is developed by scientists, working at Scientific-Research Institute on prognosis, International Academy of Sciences, Baku, Azerbaijan to measure such gravity variations. One station of the ATROPATENA system network was installed at the end of January, 2009 at Center for Earthquake Studies (CES), Islamabad Pakistan to study gravity anomalies for short-term forecasting of strong earthquakes. Six months data recorded at ATROPATENA-PK from March to August 2009 was analyzed. The forecast of earthquakes were made on the basis of pattern recorded on three components of the ATROPATENA system. Different patterns are recognized from the recorded signals originated from different regions and defined the region of future earthquake. The over all success ratio was more than 65% which is a good achievement for successful forecasting earthquakes.
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Publisher:
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Global Network for the Forecasting of Earthquakes
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Link:
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http://seismonet.org/page.html?id_node=179&id_file=94
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